Тенденції зміни демографічної безпеки України як ключового індикатора соціально-економічної стабільності.

Abstract

The study is devoted to the determination of the assessment of the state and the resolution of demographic security trends in Ukraine according to the methodology, its comparison with integral threshold values, and the determination of the most significant threats in this area from the standpoint of economic security. The article identifies the level of demographic protection in Ukraine according to modern methodology, compares it with integral threshold values, and identifies the most significant threats in this area from the social security standpoint. The list of indicators of demographic security is highlighted, which may change depending on the depth and tasks of the research. Therefore, each indicator is assigned a threshold value. In particular, the dynamics of the indicator change (positive/negative), which makes it possible to compare them on the same scale to identify threats. Retrospective analysis and assessment of the current state of Ukraine's demographic security confirms its critical level during the studied period of Ukraine, particularly the war unleashed by russia. This situation creates a significant threat to national security. Based on this, the conclusions were made that the current trends in the population change, taking into account the military situation in Ukraine, indicate a significant decrease in the rate of its growth; in Ukraine, there was a process of substantial deterioration of natural population growth indicators; since 2010, a steady trend towards an increase in the share of the elderly population in the total population has formed in Ukraine; the scale of the migration inflow is insignificant and according to the criteria of economic security corresponds to an unsatisfactory level of migration growth of the population. As a result, the most critical threats are outlined, and practical recommendations are given to the leadership of Ukraine to eliminate existing problems in the demographic sphere, namely the importance of applying systemic mechanisms aimed at increasing the standard of living of the population, increasing the number of jobs in the state, and increasing birth rates.